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Global stocks plummeted as investors braced for President Trump's upcoming tariffs, with the ASX losing $42 billion and Japan's Nikkei index dropping 4.05%. Goldman Sachs raised US recession odds to 35%, predicting more Federal Reserve rate cuts as tariffs threaten economic stability. Safe-haven assets like US treasuries and gold surged amid the turmoil.
Japan is emerging from a prolonged deflationary period, with February's industrial production rising 2.5% y/y, driven by demand for manufactured goods ahead of new US tariffs. However, uncertainties surrounding US trade policies are impacting global sentiment and expectations for the Bank of Japan's rate hikes, with a forecast suggesting USD/JPY may end the year lower at 145.
USD/JPY is experiencing a pullback after failing to maintain momentum near the 50-DMA and 200-DMA at 151.30/151.60. Analysts indicate that a breach of the recent support level around 148.15/147.50 could lead to a decline towards March lows near 146.50, with potential further drops to 145.
European markets opened lower amid ongoing market uncertainty, with analysts indicating that the equity drawdown probability has not peaked. Factors contributing to this outlook include a weakening macroeconomic backdrop, declines in key tech stocks, and a risk appetite indicator suggesting no strong buying opportunity has emerged.Investors are closely monitoring upcoming economic data, including the Chicago Business Barometer and U.S. employment reports, while crude oil and gold prices showed slight increases. Asian markets also closed lower, reflecting broader global market trends.
Market volatility is escalating as the US prepares for new reciprocal tariff announcements, leading to a 3.9% drop in the Nikkei and a 1% rise in gold prices. Investors are seeking safety, reflected in falling German Bund and US Treasury yields, while key economic indicators are set to be released soon.As global economic tensions rise, the implications of impending tariff talks and mixed currency positions are under scrutiny, prompting investors to assess whether these fluctuations are temporary or indicative of a broader economic realignment.
Soaring demand for Toyota's gasoline-electric hybrids has led to significant supply chain challenges, resulting in extended wait times for customers across major markets. With global hybrid sales nearly tripling in five years, Toyota is working to boost production capacity while facing component shortages, particularly in magnets and inverters. Competitors like Hyundai and Honda are also struggling to meet hybrid demand, highlighting the growing popularity of these vehicles amid a competitive landscape.
Soaring demand for Toyota's gasoline-electric hybrids has led to significant supply chain challenges, resulting in lengthy wait times for buyers across major markets. In Europe, customers face delays of 60 to 70 days, while in Japan, waits range from two to five months. The automaker is working to boost production and alleviate bottlenecks caused by shortages of key components, including magnets and inverters.
Asian shares plummeted on Monday, with Tokyo's Nikkei 225 dropping over 4% following a significant retreat on Wall Street, driven by fears of worsening inflation and a slowing U.S. economy amid escalating trade tensions. The S&P 500 experienced its worst day in two years, falling 2%, while consumer pessimism about future finances surged, raising concerns about a potential stagflation scenario. As markets brace for upcoming tariff announcements, oil prices and U.S. futures also declined.
Global markets faced turmoil last week due to new 25% US auto tariffs, raising stagflation concerns amid mixed earnings in Hong Kong. The Nasdaq 100 is testing critical support levels, while commodity prices surged, with oil nearing $70 per barrel and gold hitting $3,086. Key economic data, including China PMI and US employment figures, are anticipated this week.
Taobao is launching an English app in several Asian markets, aiming to enhance its appeal to non-Chinese customers and address past shopping challenges. While it leverages its connection to Lazada, it faces competition from established players like Shopee, known for better returns and after-sales support. The platform's clothing quality has reportedly improved significantly, prompting a potential resurgence in interest among shoppers.
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